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February 28, 2007

China crisis: latest

The latest breaking news from China: China could get worse:

A day after shares in China plunged 8.8%, shares on the Shangahi Stock Exchange rebounded, with the index ending the day up 3.9% at 2,881.07.

But investors in Hong Kong say that the worst is still yet to come, and that the outlook for China's market remains overly optimistic. The Hang Seng ended the day down 2.46% at 19,651.51.

"Equities in China are still much more overpriced than people are admitting at the moment," says Sean Darby, head of Asian strategy at Nomura Bank in Hong Kong. "The Chinese pressure cooker is getting hotter. It hasn't tightened rates that much. There's closed capital account money flowing in and contracting liquidity."

The article is hot off the press from last night EST. I should mention that I wrote it.

Consensus: we are seeing the beginning of a south Asian contagion, though Hong Kong and Japanese markets are unlikely to be affected long-term. More context to follow.

05:50 PM in Finance | Permalink

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